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Editor's Note:
We have two superb, but short articles this week. Charley
Reese is a conservative writer who claims to be a Goldwater
Republican. He is immensely critical of our foreign policy.

The second offering comes from a soldier presently in Iraq.
Al Lorentz is on-the-ground and we hope you find his
assessment illuminating.
-----------------------------------------------------------


A Comedy Routine - By Charley Reese

President George Bush's denial of the reality of Iraq is
beginning to sound like a stand-up comedy routine.

"Mr. President, the insurgency has spread to the whole
country."

"We're making great progress."

"But Mr. President, the attacks against coalition forces
have escalated dramatically."

"We're making great progress."

"But Mr. President, all but 2 percent of the Iraqi people
want us to leave."

"We're making great progress."

"And the interim government has no support and in fact can't
step outside the Green Zone without being surrounded by
American security."

"We're making great progress."

And so forth. Whether the president is actually in denial or
is misleading the public for partisan purposes, I will leave
to your judgment. It would be less dangerous if he were
engaged in deliberate deception. That, at least, is a sign
of sanity.

Some are now speculating that the president's solution to
the morass in Iraq will be to launch an attack against
Iran ? after the election, of course.
There can be no other reason to sell Israel bunker-buster
bombs. The only possible target would be Iran's nuclear
reactors. The Iranians would retaliate, and, of course, the
United States would join the war in defense of Israel.
Widening the war to a country with 60 million people might
sound stupid, but with this administration's record of
stupid decisions, it's not to be ruled out. 

Nothing would destroy the democratic movement in Iran quicker
than an attack by Israel and the United States. The same
stupid people who thought we would be greeted as liberators
in Iraq, however, might actually think Iranians would
welcome an attack. People who spend their lives in academic
surroundings can be forgiven for not knowing much about
human nature. The most basic response of all humans is to
rally around their country's government when it is attacked
by a foreign power. The Iranians would certainly do that,
as they demonstrated in the 1980s when Saddam Hussein attacked
them.

As all democratic nations do, we have uneven luck in choosing
our leaders, but this is the first administration that actually
scares me. There is nothing so stupid and wrongheaded that I
can't visualize them doing.

Bush has no real compassion. That's why he forbids ceremonies
for returning dead. According to Ollie North, President Reagan
was at the airport every time a dead American serviceman's body
came home. The British also formally greet their returning dead
with honor and respect. Only in the United States does the
government even forbid news organizations from greeting the
dead.

Bush and his corporate cronies care for Bush and his corporate
cronies. If Reagan was the Teflon president, Bush is the
irresponsible and unaccountable president. Not only has he
created a bloody mess in Iraq, his economic policies have
forced many American working men to endanger their lives by
going there to work. Naturally, wages in Iraq, for everybody
but the troops and the Iraqi people, are exorbitant, since
the taxpayers are footing the bills.

I've noticed that Bush has stayed out of Iraq, except for his
short dead-of-the-night sneak into and out of the Baghdad
airport for a photo op.
If we are making such great progress, as he keeps insisting
that we are, surely he could visit the country in the daytime.
Other national leaders have done so.

But the Bush policy in regard to Iraq has been a fraud from
the beginning, and it remains a fraud with the appointment
of an old CIA leech as prime minister to oversee the rape
of Iraq by the favored corporate pirates. The Iraqi people
know the score. The question is, Do the American people?


Why We Cannot Win - by Al Lorentz


Before I begin, let me state that I am a soldier currently
deployed in Iraq, I am not an armchair quarterback. Nor am
I some politically idealistic and naïve young soldier, I am
an old and seasoned Non-Commissioned Officer with nearly 20
years under my belt. Additionally, I am not just a soldier
with a mud’s-eye view of the war, I am in Civil Affairs and
as such, it is my job to be aware of all the events occurring
in this country and specifically in my region.

I have come to the conclusion that we cannot win here for a
number of reasons. Ideology and idealism will never trump
history and reality.

When we were preparing to deploy, I told my young soldiers
to beware of the "political solution." Just when you think
you have the situation on the ground in hand, someone will
come along with a political directive that throws you off
the tracks.

I believe that we could have won this un-Constitutional
invasion of Iraq and possibly pulled off the even more un-
Constitutional occupation and subjugation of this sovereign
nation. It might have even been possible to foist democracy
on these people who seem to have no desire, understanding or
respect for such an institution. True the possibility of
pulling all this off was a long shot and would have required
several hundred billion dollars and even more casualties than
we've seen to date but again it would have been possible, not
realistic or necessary but possible.

Here are the specific reasons why we cannot win in Iraq.

First, we refuse to deal in reality. We are in a guerilla war,
but because of politics, we are not allowed to declare it a
guerilla war and must label the increasingly effective guerilla
forces arrayed against us as "terrorists, criminals and dead-
enders."

This implies that there is a zero sum game at work, i.e. we
can simply kill X number of the enemy and then the fight is
over, mission accomplished, everybody wins. Unfortunately, this
is not the case. We have few tools at our disposal and those
are proving to be wholly ineffective at fighting the guerillas.

The idea behind fighting a guerilla army is not to destroy its
every man (an impossibility since he hides himself by day amongst
the populace). Rather the idea in guerilla warfare is to erode or
destroy his base of support.

So long as there is support for the guerilla, for every one you
kill two more rise up to take his place. More importantly, when
your tools for killing him are precision guided munitions,
raids and other acts that create casualties among the innocent
populace, you raise the support for the guerillas and undermine
the support for yourself. (A 500-pound precision bomb has a
casualty-producing radius of 400 meters minimum; do the math.)

Second, our assessment of what motivates the average Iraqi was
skewed, again by politically motivated "experts." We came here
with some fantasy idea that the natives were all ignorant, mud-
hut dwelling camel riders who would line the streets and pelt
us with rose petals, lay palm fronds in the street and be
eternally grateful. While at one time there may have actually
been support and respect from the locals, months of occupation
by our regular military forces have turned the formerly friendly
into the recently hostile.

Attempts to correct the thinking in this regard are in vain; it
is not politically correct to point out the fact that the locals
are not only disliking us more and more, they are growing
increasingly upset and often overtly hostile. Instead of
addressing the reasons why the locals are becoming angry and
discontented, we allow politicians in Washington DC to give us
pat and convenient reasons that are devoid of any semblance of
reality.

We are told that the locals are not upset because we have a
hostile, aggressive and angry Army occupying their nation. We
are told that they are not upset at the police state we have
created, or at the manner of picking their representatives for
them. Rather we are told, they are upset because of a handful
of terrorists, criminals and dead enders in their midst have
made them upset, that and of course the ever convenient straw
man of "left wing media bias."

Third, the guerillas are filling their losses faster than we
can create them. This is almost always the case in guerilla
warfare, especially when your tactics for battling the guerillas
are aimed at killing guerillas instead of eroding their
support. For every guerilla we kill with a "smart bomb" we
kill many more innocent civilians and create rage and anger
in the Iraqi community. This rage and anger translates into
more recruits for the terrorists and less support for us.

We have fallen victim to the body count mentality all over
again. We have shown a willingness to inflict civilian
casualties as a necessity of war without realizing that
these same casualties create waves of hatred against us.
These angry Iraqi citizens translate not only into more
recruits for the guerilla army but also into more support of
the guerilla army.

Fourth, their lines of supply and communication are much
shorter than ours and much less vulnerable. We must import
everything we need into this place; this costs money and is
dangerous. Whether we fly the supplies in or bring them by
truck, they are vulnerable to attack, most especially those
brought by truck. This not only increases the likelihood of
the supplies being interrupted. Every bean, every bullet and
every bandage becomes infinitely more expensive.

Conversely, the guerillas live on top of their supplies and
are showing every indication of developing a very sophisticated
network for obtaining them. Further, they have the advantage
of the close support of family and friends and traditional
religious networks.

Fifth, we consistently underestimate the enemy and his
capabilities. Many military commanders have prepared to fight
exactly the wrong war here.

Our tactics have not adjusted to the battlefield and we are
falling behind.

Meanwhile the enemy updates his tactics and has shown a
remarkable resiliency and adaptability.

Because the current administration is more concerned with
its image than it is with reality, it prefers symbolism to
substance: soldiers are dying here and being maimed and
crippled for life. It is tragic, indeed criminal that our
elected public servants would so willingly sacrifice our
nation's prestige and honor as well as the blood and treasure
to pursue an agenda that is ahistoric and un-Constitutional.

It is all the more ironic that this un-Constitutional mission
is being performed by citizen soldiers such as myself who
swore an oath to uphold and defend the Constitution of the
United States, the same oath that the commander in chief
himself has sworn.

***********************************************************
Al Lorentz is former state chairman of the Constitution
Party of Texas and is a reservist currently serving with
the US Army in Iraq.
***********************************************************


More selected readings


Israeli Moles Penetrate The Pentagon – Jane’s Quarterly http://www.janes.com/security/international_security/news/fr/fr040929_1_n.sh
tml


Truths Worth Telling - Daniel Ellsberg
http://www.nytimes.com/2004/09/28/opinion/28ellsberg.html?ex=1097348803&ei=1&en=410198a09db57ba2

Feeling A Draft
http://www.antiwar.com/roberts/?articleid=2319

US Prepares For Military Action Against Syria http://216.26.163.62/2004/ss_syria_09_28.html

Not Enough Troops To Subdue Iraq - Navy Times http://www.navytimes.com/story.php?f=1-NAVYPAPER-370919.php
 

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